EJL Wireless Research Reports Global Macrocell BTS Transceiver Market Volumes increased 31% in 2015

EJL Wireless Research Reports Global Macrocell BTS Transceiver Market Volumes increased 31% in 2015

Record Shipments despite Grafting Probe in China


China demand slowing down

Salem, NH, May 31, 2016 – The global macrocell base transmitting station (BTS) transceiver (TRx) market grew by 31% in units in 2015 and marked a third year of record shipments, according to the latest report from EJL Wireless Research titled “Global Macrocell BTS Transceiver Market Analysis and Forecast, 12th Edition, 2016-2020.” “Last year marked the peak of the most recent cycle of LTE spending, driven by China. As expected, Huawei remained the world’s leading supplier however ZTE, for the first time, was able to move up to second in our market share rankings due to the demand in China. This marks the first time in the wireless industry that both Chinese suppliers are at the top of the market share globally,” says founder and President, Earl Lum. The report provides a unique perspective on the global shipments and demand for base station radio transceiver equipment covering all air interface standards and frequencies and major OEMs including Ericsson, Huawei Technologies, Nokia Networks, Samsung Electronics, and ZTE.

Some key and notable facts from the analysis include:

  • LTE technology captured 88% of total shipments, up from 74% in 2014
  • Overall LTE shipments increased by 55% year over year
  • TDD-LTE shipments were 50% of total LTE shipments, down from 54% in 2014
  • Chinese vendors captured 72% of total market shipments, up from 62% in 2014

The green field Band 30 and Band 66 deployments will continue to drive demand in North America. Band 8 900MHz UMTS refarming, Band 20, Band 3, Band 1, Band 7, and the emerging Band 32 SDL products will continue to drive Europe while Band 28, Band 3, Band 33, Band 7, Band 40, and Band 42 will drive demand in Asia Pacific.

“The mobile infrastructure spending cycle in China hit a peak in 2015 and 2016 will see a decline in spending from Chinese operators that will impact overall base station shipments. The main concern for the industry is the slope of the decline for the next few years as the industry stares into the 5G Chasm. We have published initial projections for 5G infrastructure equipment however it will not fill the demand gap that faces the industry between 2018 through 2020,” says Lum.

Please see our other analysis titled “Global Macrocell Base Station/Remote Radio Unit Market Analysis and Forecast, 12th Edition, 2016-2020” that drives the demand for transceivers.

The RRU architecture migration to higher order 2T4R, 4T4R, and eventually 8T8R architectures for FDD LTE will help soften the decline while the potential for massive MIMO architectures for 5G is a mixed outlook for the industry. The massive MIMO architecture will require less power per radio transceiver, significantly altering the current RRU and passive/semi-active antenna technologies deployed in today’s networks.

“EJL Wireless believes that the evolution of outdoor macrocell base station, RRU, and antenna technologies will push mobile operators to continue to delay the mass deployment of outdoor small cells and HetNet architectures within their networks,” says Lum.

Some key predictions from EJL Wireless Research LLC for 2016:

  • Global Macrocell BTS TRx shipments are expected to decline by 33%
  • Global Macrocell BTS LTE TRx shipments are expected to decline by 32%
  • Global Macrocell BTS W-CDMA/HSPA TRx shipments are expected to decline by 38%
  • Global Macrocell BTS CDMA TRx shipments are expected to reach zero by 2019
  • Global Macrocell BTS GSM/EDGE TRx shipments are expected to decline by 39%

The top suppliers for overall macro base station transceiver shipments as well as by air interface standards for 2015 were:

  • Overall #1 TRx Supplier: Huawei Technologies
  • Overall #1 GSM TRx Supplier: Huawei Technologies
  • Overall #1 W-CDMA TRx Supplier: ZTE
  • Overall #1 CDMA TRx Supplier: ZTE
  • Overall #1 LTE TRx Supplier: Huawei Technologies

The report is currently available for purchase and information can be downloaded at www.ejlwireless.com. ■

For more information on our detailed reports, consulting services, and design analysis services, contact Earl J. Lum directly at (650) 430-2221 or elum@ejlwireless.com. We invite you to subscribe to our Email Updates, or meet with us at upcoming wireless conferences and events. Discover why EJL Wireless Research is the preferred choice for wireless market intelligence.

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EJL Wireless Research Reports Global BTS Market Volumes Hit Record Levels again in 2015, Up 16%

EJL Wireless Research Reports Global BTS Market Volumes Hit Record Levels again in 2015, Up 16%

Huawei Technologies remains #1 supplier

Outlook murky as China spending slows down

Salem, NH May 23, 2016 – The global base transmitting station (BTS) market grew by 16% in units in 2015, according to the latest report from EJL Wireless Research titled “Global Macrocell Base Station/Remote Radio Unit Market Analysis and Forecast, 12th Edition, 2016-2020.” “Record shipments were driven in part by China Mobile’s TDD LTE network deployments, China Unicom’s HSPA+ and FDD LTE deployments, and China Telecom’s FDD LTE deployment. 2015 was all about China,” says founder and President, Earl Lum. The report provides a unique perspective on the global shipments and demand for base station equipment covering all air interface standards and frequencies and major OEMs including Ericsson, Huawei Technologies, Nokia Networks, Samsung Electronics, and ZTE. The report also analyzes shipments of remote radio units (RRU).

“LTE eNodeB shipments increased by 23% in 2015, as demand for TDD and FDD LTE in China drove shipment volumes. We estimate that TDD LTE eNodeBs remained at 28% of overall LTE eNodeB shipments in 2015. With China CAPEX spending peaking in 2015 and declining in 2016, we are modeling a difficult three year outlook for the industry,” says Lum.

Some key predictions from EJL Wireless Research LLC for 2016 are:

  • Global BTS shipments will be down 12%
  • Global eNodeB FDD LTE shipments are expected to be flat
  • Global eNodeB TDD LTE shipments are expected to decline 44%
  • Global NodeB W-CDMA/HSPA+ shipments are expected to decline by 5%

The top suppliers for overall base station shipments as well as by air interface standards for 2015 were:

  • Overall #1 BTS Supplier: Huawei Technologies
  • Overall #1 GSM BTS Supplier: Huawei Technologies
  • Overall #1 W-CDMA/HSPA+ NodeB Supplier: Ericsson
  • Overall #1 CDMA BTS Supplier: ZTE
  • Overall #1 LTE eNodeB Supplier: Huawei Technologies

EJL Wireless Research has also included its first initial outlook for 5G technology. While Korean and Japanese mobile operators are focused on mobile broadband applications for 5G, US operators such as Verizon Wireless may leverage mmwave frequencies for fixed wireless 5G services “We believe that the 26GHz and 28GHz spectrum are key frequency bands that mobile operators will focus on instead of higher frequency bands at 40GHz or 60GHz. We do not expect substantial volumes for 5G infrastructure equipment to ship until 2022,” says Lum.

The report is currently available for purchase and information can be downloaded at www.ejlwireless.com

For more information on our detailed reports, consulting services, and design analysis services, contact Earl J. Lum directly at (650) 430-2221 or elum@ejlwireless.com. We invite you to subscribe to our Email Updates, or meet with us at upcoming wireless conferences and events. Discover why EJL Wireless Research is the preferred choice for wireless market intelligence.

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